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Abstract Within High Mountain Asia (HMA), the annual melting of glaciers and snowpack provides vital freshwater to populations living downstream. Precipitation over HMA can directly affect the freshwater availability in this region by altering the mass balance of glaciers and snowpack. However, available reanalyses and downscaling simulations lack the resolution required to understand important glacier‐scale variations in precipitation. This study aimed to determine the current characteristics of orographic precipitation gradients (OPG) by curve‐fitting daily precipitation as a function of elevation from a 15‐year, 4‐km grid spaced Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulation focused on the Himalayan, Karakoram, and Hindu‐Kush mountain ranges. To facilitate precipitation curve‐fitting, the WRF model grid points were separated into regions of similar orientation, referred to as facets. Akaike Information Criterion‐corrected values and anF‐testp‐value identified the need for a curvature term to account for a varying OPG with elevation. Regions with similar seasonal variability were found using ‐means clustering of the monthly mean OPG coefficients. The central Himalayan slope's intra‐seasonal variability of OPG depended on synoptic scale conditions, in which cyclonically‐forced heavy‐precipitation events produced strong sublinear increases in precipitation with elevation. Initial testing of precipitation estimates using monthly coefficients showed promising results in downscaling daily WRF precipitation; the daily mean absolute error at each grid point had a lower magnitude than the daily mean precipitation total, on average. Results provide a physically‐based context for machine learning algorithms being developed to predict OPG and downscale precipitation output from global climate models over HMA.more » « less
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Landfalling lake- and sea-effect (hereafter lake-effect) systems often interact with orography, altering the distribution and intensity of precipitation, which frequently falls as snow. In this study, we examine the influence of orography on two modes of lake-effect systems: long-lake-axis-parallel (LLAP) bands and broad-coverage, open-cell convection. Specifically, we generate idealized large-eddy simulations of a LLAP band produced by an oval lake and broad-coverage, open-cell convection produced by an open lake (i.e., without flanking shorelines) with a downstream coastal plain, 500-m peak, and 2000-m ridge. Without terrain, the LLAP band intersects a coastal baroclinic zone over which ascent and hydrometeor mass growth are maximized, with transport and fallout producing an inland precipitation maximum. The 500-m peak does not significantly alter this structure, but slightly enhances precipitation due to orographic ascent, increased hydrometeor mass growth, and reduced subcloud sublimation. In contrast, a 2000-m ridge disrupts the band by blocking the continental flow that flanks the coastlines. This, combined with differential surface heating between the lake and land, leads to low-level flow reversal, shifting the coastal baroclinic zone and precipitation maximum offshore. In contrast, the flow moves over the terrain in open lake, open-cell simulations. Over the 500-m peak, this yields an increase in the frequency of weaker (<1 m s−1) updrafts and weak precipitation enhancement, although stronger updrafts decline. Over the 2000-m ridge, however, buoyancy and convective vigor increase dramatically, contributing to an eightfold increase in precipitation. Overall, these results highlight differences in the influence of orography on two common lake-effect modes.more » « less
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The Sea of Japan (SOJ) coast and adjoining orography of central Honshu, Japan, receive substantial snowfall each winter. A frequent contributor during cold-air outbreaks (CAOs) is the Japan Sea polar airmass convergence zone (JPCZ), which forms downstream of the highland areas of the Korean Peninsula (i.e., the Korean Highlands), extends southeastward to Honshu, and generates a mesoscale band of precipitation. Mesoscale polar vortices (MPVs) ranging in horizontal scale from tens (i.e., meso-β-scale cyclones) to several hundreds of kilometers (i.e., “polar lows”) are also common during CAOs and often interact with the JPCZ. Here we use satellite imagery and Weather Research and Forecasting Model simulations to examine the formation, thermodynamic structure, and airflow of a JPCZ that formed in the wake of an MPV during a CAO from 2 to 7 February 2018. The MPV and its associated warm seclusion and bent-back front developed in a locally warm, convergent, and convective environment over the SOJ near the base of the Korean Peninsula. The nascent JPCZ was structurally continuous with the bent-back front and lengthened as the MPV migrated southeastward. Trajectories illustrate how air–sea interactions and flow splitting around the Korean Highlands and channeling through low passes and valleys along the Asian coast affect the formation and thermodynamic structure of the JPCZ. Contrasts in airmass origin and thermodynamic modification over the SOJ affect the cross-JPCZ temperature gradient, which reverses in sign along the JPCZ from the Asian coast to Honshu. These results provide new insights into the thermodynamic structure of the JPCZ, which is an important contributor to hazardous weather over Japan.more » « less
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A cold-frontal passage through northern Utah was studied using observations collected during intensive observing period 4 of the Intermountain Precipitation Experiment (IPEX) on 14–15 February 2000. To illustrate some of its nonclassic characteristics, its origins are considered. The front developed following the landfall of two surface features on the Pacific coast (hereafter, the cold-frontal system). The first feature was a surface pressure trough and wind shift associated with a band of precipitation and rope cloud with little, if any, surface baroclinicity. The second, which made landfall 4 h later, was a wind shift associated with weaker precipitation that possessed a weak temperature drop at landfall (1˚C in 9 h), but developed a stronger temperature drop as it moved inland over central California (4˚–6˚C in 9 h). As the first feature moved into the Great Basin, surface temperatures ahead of the trough increased due to downslope flow and daytime heating, whereas temperatures behind the trough decreased as precipitation cooled the near-surface air. Coupled with confluence in the lee of the Sierra Nevada, this trough developed into the principal baroclinic zone of the cold-frontal system (8˚C in less than an hour), whereas the temperature drop with the second feature weakened further. The motion of the surface pressure trough was faster than the post-trough surface winds and was tied to the motion of the short-wave trough aloft. This case, along with previously published cases in the Intermountain West, challenges the traditional conceptual model of cold-frontal terminology, structure, and evolution.more » « less
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